January
1, 2004
All The King's Horses...
Humpty
Dumpty once ranked among Canada's top potato chip makers.
CEO Gerry Schmalz is betting that with a new logo, new flavours
and a new celebrity pitchman, he can buck the odds -- and its
namesake's history -- and put it there again
By Sarah
Scott - National Post
This
is the junk-food factory where Humpty Dumpty chips are made:
A large well-lit box of a building in Brampton, Ont., where
the steady roar of machinery orchestrates the birth of a real
Canadian potato chip. It only takes 15 minutes: Medium-sized
potatoes are washed, scrubbed and sliced 1/20th of an inch
thin, then fried in 360-degree Fahrenheit oil, genetically
modified but trans fat free. The warm chips are transported
up a conveyer belt to the seasoning stations, where they're
powdered with dry flavours like ketchup, dill pickle, fries-and-gravy,
smoked bacon and roast chicken, and then weighed on a computerized
scale, dropped into multi-layered polypropylene bags and sealed
shut. And there you have a potato chip -- 35% oil, 1% salt,
the rest potato.
The manufacturing of potato chips hasn't changed much since
the introduction of computerized scales 20 years ago. Sure,
people are on a health kick these days, but nobody at Kitchener,
Ont.-based Humpty Dumpty Snack Foods Inc. -- the only publicly
traded chip company in Canada -- thinks it will affect the
mouth-watering impulse to buy. Oil, after all, is what gives
chips their flavour, says Terry Henderson, the snack-food
veteran who runs Humpty Dumpty's manufacturing operations.
He eats dill pickle chips just about every day. Low-fat chips?
"We tried that," he says, on a tour of the plant where you
can smell the cooking oil in the air. "It was a miserable
product."
The business of the chip, however, has changed significantly
in Canada over the last two decades, ever since the global
snack-food monster, Frito-Lay, a division of PepsiCo Inc.,
with US$8.5 billion in revenue in North America alone, conquered
the market. Frito-Lay has the powerhouse lineup of Lay's potato
chips, Doritos and Tostitos, plus an awesome distribution
machine. After making its big move in 1989, when it bought
Canada's then-leading chipper, Hostess Foods Co., it didn't
take long before Frito Lay Canada had gobbled up more than
60% of the market -- leaving comparatively small companies
like Humpty Dumpty, with current annual revenues of about
$170 million, struggling for shelf space. Humpty Dumpty, which
also makes private-label chips for retailers and brand-name
snacks like Cheese Twists and Party Mix, has grappled with
the problem ever since: How to win back some of that vital
retail real estate? It's a tall order: Half of all chips are
sold in grocery stores, and Humpty Dumpty, the all-Canadian
potato chip, can't get a sniff in Canada's biggest grocery
chain, Loblaws.
Humpty Dumpty's chairman and CEO, Gerry Schmalz, is betting
that a multi-million-dollar makeover -- of the flavours and
the main man -- will do the trick. He's got his sales team
pushing retailers hard, while at the same time speaking directly
to consumers -- hoping that if more of them ask for Humpty
Dumpty, more retailers will put the brand on their shelves.
It's the latest assault in a campaign that started four years
ago; one that has seen the company rev up its "explosive"
flavours and rebrand itself, giving its venerable nursery
rhyme icon -- who made his original chip-bag debut in 1948
-- a complete makeover. While higher costs for frying oil
and the stronger Canadian dollar pushed the company to its
first losses in five years in fiscal 2003, Schmalz does see
signs of progress: Since introducing the new Humpty Dumpty
logo and packaging last April, the company's market share
in eastern Canada has risen to 12% from 7% in 2002. (It serves
that market, as well as the northeastern U.S., with four manufacturing
plants between Ontario and P.E.I., but has virtually no presence
west of Ontario, where American-owned Old Dutch Foods Ltd.
of Winnipeg is No. 2.) Such gains are a start, but with the
Frito Lay snack monster lurking and overall revenue flat since
jumping 10% in 2000, Humpty Dumpty remains in a tough spot.
Schmalz, a burly 55-year-old former goaltender, has built
a career making potato chips, ever since he turned away a
scout from the Detroit Red Wings nearly four decades ago after
a teacher told him there was no money in hockey. Back in the
1980s, he bought several little Canadian potato chip companies
and founded Small Fry Snack Foods Ltd. But it was also about
that time, in 1989, that Frito Lay Canada -- already the No.
3 brand in Ontario and Atlantic Canada and No. 2 in Quebec
-- bought Hostess. Over the next five years, Frito Lay deployed
its powerful distribution machine to assume command of snacks
in eastern Canada, reaching 50% market share. A few years
later, it surpassed Old Dutch to become No. 1 in the West.
Being No. 1 is especially advantageous in a business like
potato chips, where distribution is so important. Delivering
potato chips directly to stores represents roughly one-quarter
of a snack company's wholesale costs. Volume, however, gives
Frito Lay a distinct advantage. When a Frito Lay truck pulls
up to the grocery store, it drops off more snacks than its
competitors, so Frito Lay pays less per delivery than its
competitors do. In turn, the snack giant uses that advantage
to fund more advertising and marketing that reinforces the
brand in consumers' minds, which drives sales and helps convince
retailers to give Frito Lay prime shelf position. No one has
been able to break this circle. In 1989, for example, around
the time that Frito Lay bought Hostess in Canada, Anheuser-Busch,
the U.S. beer company, launched Eagle brand chips, betting
hundreds of millions of dollars it could make a better potato
chip than Frito-Lay. For a while it did, until Frito-Lay refocussed
on chips. Eagle closed in 1996.
Schmalz, however, wasn't about to back down: "It became clear
in this business you get big or go home," he said. His first
move, in 1993, was to buy Olde Barrel, a P.E.I. chip maker,
and three years later, Murphy's, an Ontario manufacturer and
distributor. In between, in December 1994, Schmalz purchased
Humpty Dumpty from Borden Inc. for about $32 million, funded
by bank debt and money from Bain Capital and GE Capital Canada,
and from Schmalz's own investment company. At the time, Humpty
Dumpty had an 18% share in eastern Canada. "Somebody was going
to buy Humpty Dumpty," Schmalz recalls. "Why not me?" He figured
a little Canadian snack company could survive against Frito
Lay: "It's like a mouse running under an elephant," he says.
"There's lots of room down there. You just don't get stepped
on."
Yet only four years later -- even after firing one-quarter
of the staff -- Schmalz was in deep trouble. It was 1998,
and his company, which sold chips under the Humpty Dumpty
brand but was still known corporately as Small Fry, looked
like it was about to replay the legendary egg's tumble off
the wall. It recorded a net loss of $4.7 million on $160 million
in sales. One problem was that the company relied heavily
on making chips for retailer's private-label brands -- and
private-label chip prices were dropping. Although the private-label
business helped to keep the machines humming, margins became
too thin for a company that was also geared to market and
support a brand. On top of that, the branded business was
weakening, too. In the 1980s, Humpty Dumpty had been No. 1
in Quebec and No. 2 in Ontario and the Maritimes. Now its
market share had tumbled to under 10%. It and other small
players were getting pushed to the sidelines by a couple of
related trends, says Bain & Co. consultant Chris Dawson. First,
retailers were consolidating, and as they gained power, they
chose to buy more product from fewer suppliers. In response,
consumer-product companies started consolidating to enhance
their power with retailers. They also expanded their offerings
to fill the shelves and entrench their positions as preferred
suppliers. The end result: fewer suppliers with a more dominant
presence on the shelves.
In Humpty Dumpty's case, it was Frito Lay that cut deals with
retailers that effectively shut out the Canadian chip. These
customer merchandizing deals or trade promotions, very common
in the industry, are negotiated on an annual or even longer
basis. Covering items like shelf space, display, promotions
and advertising, they're a sophisticated version of the simple
volume discount. While they don't explicitly shut out competition
-- that would be illegal -- they can achieve the same effect
by offering retailers financial rewards for hitting sales
targets. Says Lynda Murray, Humpty Dumpty's vice-president
of marketing: "Through good selling, [Frito Lay] got us de-listed,
or kept us out of selling our chips at retail. So we [didn't]
have the opportunity with many retail banners and therefore
with consumers to sell our product." By 1998, the year Murray
joined Small Fry as director of marketing, she says, "the
question was, how do you survive against Frito Lay? We were
in survival mode."
Murray, a vivacious and articulate marketing expert who previously
worked at an advertising agency, was hired to turn things
around. Her recommendation: put all of Small Fry's eggs in
one basket by turning Humpty Dumpty into a "superbrand." That
meant putting the Humpty Dumpty logo on all of the company's
branded products (it had only been on chips) and bringing
back the egg-man icon, which was abandoned when Schmalz bought
the company in 1994.
Her first efforts were modest, hampered by a limited budget.
She hired a local design firm to update the Humpty Dumpty
icon, and the rebranding began in 1999. In early 2000, Small
Fry bought the rights to Humpty Dumpty in the U.S., and, shortly
after that, the company changed its name. The impact was immediate.
Net sales grew 10% in 2000, hitting $171 million, due to increased
sales of branded products and the move into the U.S. market,
while earnings doubled to almost $1 million.
Even so, Murray knew she was just getting started. "People
didn't know what Humpty Dumpty stood for," she says. She did
some consumer research and listened to the kids. Their message
was a killer: "We were the brand my mother used to buy." Then
she got some good news: she found that consumers liked Humpty
Dumpty's flavours. They tended to be stronger than Frito Lay's.
Humpty Dumpty had a few unique ones, too -- like buffalo wings,
barbecue and cheddar, and roast chicken. So maybe Humpty Dumpty
could distinguish itself by highlighting its "explosive" flavour.
Next, Murray hired Thomas Pigeon, a branding expert with clients
like Molson Canadian and Pillsbury, to zap the packaging.
When you're talking about an impulse buy, packaging is crucial,
says Murray. The shelf space ought to be a "massive billboard."
But at that time, even though the original rebranding had
helped, they concluded it still looked weak. Pigeon laid out
all kinds of snacks in his Mississauga conference room, gaining
10 pounds as he studied the problem: How could Humpty Dumpty
distinguish itself from Frito Lay's big brand, big logo and
big colour? One thing, he noted, was that Humpty Dumpty himself
looked like he was about to nod off. Pigeon's team decided
to keep the bow tie but change the character. The new Humpty
Dumpty, along with a new logo and packaging, debuted on snack
lines in 2002 and on potato chips last spring. The difference
is dramatic. "Now he's dancing and partying," says Pigeon
of the new icon. "He's having a blast right now. He's the
kind of guy you'd like to party with."
But there's still one big problem, and five minutes in your
local Loblaws grocery store illustrates it perfectly. Walk
down the snack aisle and what do you see at eye level? On
your left, Doritos, Tostitos, with the salsa just below. On
your right, the President's Choice line of snacks, including
PC potato chips (made, ironically, by Humpty Dumpty). Step
a little further, and on your left you'll see a wall of Frito
Lay chips: Ruffles, Lay's, in all the flavours. Finally, well
below eye level, you might spot a little offering from Humpty
Dumpty: ke-tchup and barbeque Ringolos, Party Mix and Cruncheez.
No potato chips. When you consider that snacks are a classic
impulse buy, this is not a good location.
"If you can't get to the shelf, it's critical," says Murray.
Right now, Frito Lay dominates the snack shelves in 90% of
retail outlets that sell snacks. Humpty Dumpty snacks, or
at least some of them, are sold in 60% of outlets, but they're
often relegated to a lesser position. According to Loblaw
spokesman Geoff Wilson, the grocer assigns shelf space on
the basis of sales volume, sales growth and the appeal of
something new. It usually stocks the top two brands, plus
its own house brand. "We want to give our customers choice
and great value," says Wilson. But so far Humpty Dumpty isn't
one of the chosen brands at Loblaws.
Nevertheless, Schmalz is now making that chain, along with
IGA (owned by Sobeys Inc.), his prime targets. "They say,
what's different between your potato chip and Frito's?" Schmalz
says, re-enacting his sales pitch. "We say, flavours. Our
flavours are more regionalized. Canadian barbecue is spicier,
whereas an American barbecue is a sweet, smoky flavour. Our
cheese here in Canada is a sharp cheddar, whereas in the U.S.
it's a buttery Velveeta." Their reaction? "They look at us
sometimes as if we had two heads."
Blind taste tests, Schmalz continues, show that nine out of
10 consumers prefer the taste of Humpty Dumpty in 60% of its
snacks. Nielsen data shows that its barbecue, dill pickle
and ketchup chips outperform Lay's in stores where both are
sold.
That's nice, the retailers say, but we only have so much space.
Then Schmalz tells them about the space audit Humpty Dumpty
did in the past year at one grocery store. The retailer had
allocated 117 spots on the shelves for Frito Lay's Tostitos.
Yet the store only sold 10 bags of Tostitos per day. "My comment
was: You folks are inventory-ing, warehousing Frito's product,
and you're paying for it." The grocer gave Humpty Dumpty more
space, and the result, according to Schmalz, was impressive:
in that store, over the past year, sales of Frito Lay, Humpty
Dumpty and private-label all grew faster than the standard
growth for snacks. "Needless to say, we're taking that to
other retailers."
Whether it's the new sales pitch or the recent rebranding,
the jump in market share in eastern Canada to 12% from 7%
is a sign that something's working. Murray reports that Humpty
Dumpty is making progress in winning back shelf space: Already
sold at Sobeys, Provigo and A&P, Humpty Dumpty chips are now
back on the shelves in Mac's convenience stores and the discount
grocery store Food Basics. The company has started to supply
Wal-Mart with snacks -- but not chips, except for special
events such as Halloween. It's also signed an exclusive deal
with Compass, which supplies food to business cafeterias and
vending machines. Humpty Dumpty has also convinced Shoppers
Drug Mart to test its snacks in a handful of outlets.
Continued sales growth is far from certain, however. According
to Ryan Brain, a Deloitte consumer-products consultant, it
depends on whether the company can convince retailers that
they will be more profitable by stocking Humpty Dumpty products.
"Humpty Dumpty needs to create a very distinct way of capturing
the consumer's and retailer's attention, so its products are
not only being carried, but put in a competitive distribution
situation," Brain says. "Retailers don't care about flavour
or market research unless it is very clear that they can win
by stocking more product."
Schmalz's business plan raises questions, too. The private-label
business, for instance, generates 20% of revenues, down from
35% when the rebranding began. Should Humpty Dumpty still
be in the private-label business at all? In the snack business,
"you can't build a brand and service private-label," says
former Pepsi Canada president David Shaw. "You have to make
the call: Is Humpty Dumpty private-label or brand? Until you
make that call, you're trying to satisfy two constituencies."
Yet plenty of big consumer-product brands do have some private-label
business, because they know how to make the product and they
know retailers want private-label, says Bain and Co.'s Dawson,
adding that they do it "to improve capacity utilization" in
their plants. "It may not be a core element of their strategy.
It may just be a cost-reduction strategy."
Of more immediate concern, perhaps, is that despite the better
sales numbers for branded chips, the company's overall financials
have taken a big step backwards. Fiscal 2003 year-end numbers
were scheduled for release December 18, but a $1.4-million
net loss through the first nine months, on sales of $124 million,
clearly means the job of renewing Humpty Dumpty is far from
over. True, its main troubles -- a rising Canadian dollar
and the skyrocketing price of frying oil -- are out of Schmalz's
control. But if those conditions persist, he'll need to find
a way to cope.
For many CEOs, this could add up to a lot of disgruntled shareholders.
But in Schmalz's case, that won't be such a headache, as most
of Humpty Dumpty's shares are closely held. Schmalz himself
owns 17% of shares, while only 20% of the stock is in a public
float. The company's share price has drifted between $2 and
$3.50 for the past two years, closing at $2.40 on December
11.
For the few shareholders who might ask, the CEO says the answer
lies in further growth. "We want to be a consolidator, buying
more companies and getting bigger to take advantage of the
economy of scale," he says. Specifically, Schmalz is eyeing
some U.S. snack-food companies, and keeping tabs on the Minnesota
family that owns Old Dutch. In the short term, he's bringing
in another Canadian icon to help out. In February, shoppers
will start seeing Don Cherry's image on Humpty Dumpty chip
bags and displays. Murray hopes Cherry's face will boost sales,
just as a similar Hulk promotion did last summer. "Cherry
is bold and controversial," she says. "He believes in Canada
and likes to work with the underdog. And we are the underdog."
SHELL GAME: Humpty Dumpty's latest makeover is but one in
a long line. Here's the lowdown on his looks: 1995 Shortly
after Gerry Schmalz's Small Fry Foods bought Humpty Dumpty,
the 50-year-old brand's traditional egg-man icon was dropped.
In his place: a toe-tapping potato chip in shades and a ball
cap. Sales proved soggy.
2000 Small Fry renames itself Humpty Dumpty and revives the
egg man, while deploying the Humpty Dumpty logo as a "superbrand"
for all of its snack-food products. Chip sales take an immediate
jump, though the dopey-eyed, chrome-domed icon with a wry
smile bears little resemblance to Humpty's past.
2003 After hiring branding expert Thomas Pigeon to review
its logo and packaging, Humpty Dumpty debuted its new look.
Chip sales are impulse buys and strong branding is crucial,
says marketing VP Lynda Murray. As for the new icon? "He's
having a blast right now," says Pigeon. "He's the kind of
guy you'd like to party with." Apparently, chip buyers agree:
Since relaunching last April, Humpty Dumpty's market share
in eastern Canada is up 5%.
© National Post 2004
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